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MeanyDeany · Research systems

Research systems and academic lineage

The program connects an earlier diagnostic study, an academic financial-econometrics foundation, and a current public evidence infrastructure.

Flagship
BTC evidence infrastructure
Foundation
MSc thesis · seminar paper
Markets
BTCUSDT · NQ · ES
Boundary
No execution systems

Program sequence

One research program, three stages

Each system retains its provenance, research question, methods, and bounded contribution.

01

Research infrastructure

Flagship research infrastructure

BTC Futures Research Assistant

How can statistical volatility forecasts become reviewable evidence while remaining strictly separated from strategy permission and trading execution?

Contribution

A deterministic pipeline joining volatility forecasts, forward outcomes, append-only evidence, provenance, and operational integrity checks without crossing into execution.

GARCHEGARCHGJR-GARCHHAR-RVEvent ledgers

02

Financial econometrics

Academic foundation

Volatility Regime Filtering in Futures Markets

Can volatility-regime filtering improve the discipline of an intraday NQ and ES futures framework without treating EGARCH as a direction predictor?

Contribution

An academic comparison of an EGARCH-conditioned framework with otherwise identical intraday logic, treating volatility regime as a risk and admissibility layer.

NQESEGARCH5-minute dataRobustness

03

Crypto-asset diagnostics

Earlier time-series research

Bitcoin Bubble Detection with GSADF

How can GSADF testing identify statistically explosive Bitcoin price episodes while keeping diagnostic evidence separate from market recommendations?

Contribution

A compact time-series study applying right-tailed explosive-root diagnostics to identify and interpret periods of explosive Bitcoin price behavior.

BitcoinGSADFExplosive rootsTime series

Common standard

What travels across the program

Time
Information is aligned to when it was knowable.
Models
Model roles are narrower than strategy claims.
Validation
Comparisons and limitations remain explicit.
Evidence
Provenance and boundaries travel with results.