Research claims ledger
The ledger separates what has been demonstrated from what is still being built, what is not claimed, and what remains explicitly unapproved.
Claim by claim
Each row answers three questions: what is being said, what supports it, and where the claim stops.
Evidence
A frozen three-job scheduler creates immutable hourly-RV input manifests, two-baseline forecast-state batches, and one-hour forward-outcome batches with exact lineage and idempotent append behavior.
Evidence
A manual read-only health command validates all six evidence stores, cross-layer lineage, the PR90 cron block, three latest scheduler statuses, freshness, and bounded coverage from one captured source snapshot.
Evidence
The initial 23 Jul 2026 health snapshot was WATCH / BOOTSTRAP with 15 complete scheduled lineages out of 21 matured expected cycles and zero failing checks.
Evidence
Bounded HTTPS capture, exact raw bytes, canonical CSV normalization, independent verification, and immutable run bundles are implemented for one fixed Binance USD-M lifecycle.
Evidence
The fixed completed-run tree is reconstructed from bounded records, checked for exact layout and byte identity, and delegated to the authoritative verifier.
Evidence
Exact manifests, observation references, typed metrics, run hashes, and result hashes are canonical and reject contradictory nested state.
Evidence
One fixed, parameter-free Decimal-series summary executes in memory and returns a deterministic ExperimentResult through the reviewed result factory.
Evidence
One fixed read-only pipeline reloads a fully verified BTCUSDT run bundle, materializes immutable five-minute OHLCV rows, reconciles the dataset with the declared run, and produces a deterministic descriptive ExperimentResult.
Evidence
The exact rational close-return transform is the current build target following the verified historical-bar pipeline.
Evidence
The contracts are asset-neutral, but the only concrete end-to-end public-data adapter currently demonstrated is BTCUSDT five-minute data.
Evidence
The current outputs are infrastructure, deterministic evidence, and validation boundaries. There is no live strategy, fund, signal service, or software revenue claim.
Evidence
There is no broker integration, order routing, position management, entry permission, short permission, or leverage authority in the current system.
Non-negotiable separation
The strongest possible research result still does not create an order, position, entry permission, short permission, leverage decision, or execution authority.
A result may be reproducible, verified, and useful for research.
Paper and live trading remain unapproved until separately reviewed.